The Best Offense is a Good Defense During a Recession

Hello and welcome to this week's edition of Moneycouldn't really recommend them. Sam Adams seems
Talk Monday! The Dow slid another 150 points or solike they are a company on the rise, but a recent
this week, but that's OK. That just means everythingincrease in the cost of hops could hurt them. Then
is still on clearance. This is no time to put the walletwe come to Miller Lite, which is operated by
away. I'm going to talk today a little bit about someSouth-African Brewing Company, which oddly enough
precautionary moves in a time like this. I know thatis owned (28%) by Phillip Morris, a cigarette company!
the general rule of thumb is that "chicks dig the longSo we have cigarettes and beer under the same
ball", but if I may quote a tried but true adage,ticker...I'm in! Phillip Morris, in fact, has always beaten
"sometimes the best offense is a good defense."the odds, whether it be litigation or Truth campaigns,
During a recession, or even a correction, the stocksand there is no end in sight. The company is as
that generally perform the greatest (or the leaststrong as ever and as historically provided a hefty
worst) are stocks that supply goods that havedividend (which we will of course reinvest).
inelastic demand. A good with inelastic demand, asThe other vice Americans can't get their hands off,
you may remember from your finance class, is aof course, is oil. Regardless of the price of a gallon,
good that generally carries the same demandwe are still going to fill up our tanks and neglect public
regardless of the price. For example, a commuter istransportation. You really can't go wrong with any of
going to purchase gas whether the price is $2.50 perthe big oil companies like Exxon Mobile, Royal Dutch
gallon or $3.50, but would more likely pass on anShell, or Conoco Phillips, but at the moment, I prefer
airline ticket that is above average price. During aBritish Petroleum. The company is currently near it's
recession, even if the price of a good does not52-week low and offering a higher yield than their
change, the average citizen carries less purchasingcounterparts. Plus, at the end of the year, you'll
power, so the goods with the most inelasticreceive a Foreign Tax Credit for the dividend tax you
demands will fare the best.pay during the year, and that's always fun.
Now that we have a better understanding of theDon't feel guilty about investing in these companies.
term, what is a consumer good with very inelasticYou're not investing in cigarettes, beer, and oil- you're
demand? I can't think of anything more inelastic thaninvesting in companies for a share of their earnings.
the products we are addicted to. I'm thinkingAnd if "The Man" is going to continue to supply the
cigarettes and beer. Anheuser Busch has seen aworld with these poisons, well, it wouldn't hurt to
decline in sales over the past two decades, so Imake a buck off it, too.